NFL Sunday Week 3

My daughter's 1st birthday was yesterday, so I've been slacking.  But these are the the 5 games I'm looking at.  Maybe even tease a couple.  The theme:  Bet on good teams

1.New England (-14 1/2) over Buffalo
2. Pittsburgh (-3) over Tampa
3. Cincinnati (-3) over Carolina
4. Baltimore (-11 1/2) over Cleveland
5. Indianapolis (-6) over Denver

Saturday Action

Gambling on football is the best...anyway,  I'm coming off a 7-3 week so lets keep it rollin!  There are 6 games that peak my interest this weekend:
1. Georgia (pick) at Miss. St.  It's hard for me to bet against my team, but, if they blow, it eases the pain to make money off 'em.  All Georgia has to do is win.  Big time program vs. bottom of the barrell, nuff said.
2. Oklahoma (-13 1/2) at Cincinnati.  Cincinnati's D is a joke & when UC was good Okla beat em by 26 pts back in 2008.
3. Alabama at Arkansas (+7).  Call it a hunch, but I'm feelin Arkansas.  This is their Super Bowl...at home.
4. Cal at Arizona (-6 1/2).  Cal is coming off a complete thrashing by Nevada, in Cal, now they head to the desert.  AZ is no joke.
5. Kentucky at Florida (-14 1/2).   Kentucky has lost 15 straight to the gators, and I think this is the week that Florida gets right on offense.
6. South Carolina (+3) at Auburn.  SC's D is nasty and they now have a running game.  Also, SC is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 sept. road games.

Thursday Night Football

Tonight, the Pitt Panthers are playing host to "The U"  The Panthers are a 4pt home dog.  The U is a terrible road team.  85% of the money is on Miami & what if sports has Pitt winning outright.  For these 3 reasons, I'm goin with PITT

NFL Week 2

Last week, home dogs & teasers were big winners.  All 3 90% games if you went the other way were 3-0. (Buf, Hou, Sea) 

Staying on the teaser kick, there are 2 I really like:  1. GB/ATL  2. HOU/NE.   GB has Buff, enough said.  Atl is hosting AZ who is traveling 3 time zones(west to east teams usually play like ass).  With Hou and NE, I just like good teams on the road.

There are basically 2 90% games:  Philly (-6.5) 90% at Detroit.  New England (-4) 89% at NYJ.  I would have loved the Lions if Stafford were playing, but its Shaun Hill so who knows.

Thoughts?  Games you like

Saturday Games I like

Arkansas (+2 1/2) at Georgia - Money split 50/50  12pm
Kent at Penn St. (-21 1/2) - Beatdown 12pm
E. Carolina (+17 1/2) at Va Tech - Tech is embarrassed but the pirates have a lot of O  1:30pm
Alabama (-24) at Duke - This could get ugly if Ala takes it serious  3:30pm
BYU at Florida St (-10) - BYU's QB play is a joke & the seminoles are embarrassed  3:30pm
Florida at Tennessee (+14)  - Florida is really struggling  3:30pm
Louisville at Oregon St (-20) - Will get ugly  5:30pm
Notre Dame at Michigan St. (-3) - ND QB comin off concussion and first major road test  8pm
Wake Forest at Stanford (-17 1/2) - Stanford good team, home, better coach  11:15pm
Iowa at Arizona (-1) - Money on Iowa but line is moving wrong way.  Iowa has horrible west coast record. 10:30pm

Thurs. Night Special

Bearcats (+1 1/2) over NC State.  Like the cats here.  75% of the vegas money is on nc state and what if sports has UC winning outright 85% of the time by an average of 9 pts.  Chalk it!!

Week 2

Lets get busy this week boys.  Post the games you like.  Lets whoop some vegas ass!!

Monday Night

I closed out a solid day with a Washington win!  Gutsy pick but just went against the public.  Tonight I like the Ravens and the Chiefs.  Ravens just seem to have too much O now and the Chiefs should be much improved and the public hates them.  The trend of Sunday was that home teams kicked ass.  Thoughts?

9/11 Action in NCAAF

7 games are on tap Saturday in which the public is 90% or more on, so we go the other way.  Here they are:

1.Georgia Tech (94%) at Kansas +13 1/2
2. Memphis + 13 at E. Carolina (95%)
3. LA Tech +20 at Tex A&M (90%)
4. Toledo +9 1/2 at Ohio (92%)
5. Troy +14 at Okla St. (96%)
6. SD ST. (90%) at New Mex st. +14
7. TX Tech (92%) at New Mex +24


Games I have my eye on outside of these:
SJ st. at Wisc. (-39)  Spread might be a little high, but Wisc paid them some good $ to come across the country and get blasted.
Mich at ND (-3 1/2) all Brian Kelly does is cover baby
The U at OH ST (-8 1/2) Bucks by double digits.  Close at half, then pull away.
Stanford (-6) at UCLA  I think easiest win on the board

Early NFL trends

Its early, but, games to keep an eye on:  Miami (91%) -3 at Buffalo,  Indy (95%) -2 at Hou, Green Bay (97%) -3 at Philly, San Fran (96%) -3 at Seattle.  Things will change but I really like Philly

What a comeback!

After diggind myself a hole, I hit 5 in row!  Lsu-Tcu tease, E. Carolina, SMU, Maryland, and Boise.  That was a nice run.  Short week boys, so lets get our shit together.

Trends

A very important trend on Saturday.  All games that the public put 90% or more of the money on, 7 in all,  those teams went 1-6.  Bet with Vegas and against the public.  The 6 non covers were Okla, Fla, Neb, LSU, Clem, and Tex.  Only cover was Okla St.

FLORIDA SUCKS

FLORIDA SUCKS!!!!!!!!!

First Saturday of September!

My man Barry likes Michigan & LSU.   Hamp likes an Oklahoma play.  I'm going with Florida & Georgia early and may tease them together for a 3rd play.  I'm eyeing Clemson & K State at 3:30.  I'll post later for the late games.  Who you got Rob?

Sat. Games that have my eye

Florida (-36 1/2) over Miami OH
Northwestern (-3 1/2) over Vanderbilt
Kentucky (-3) over Louisville
LSU (-7 1/2) over North Carolina
Georgia (-28 1/2) over SWLA
Cincinnati (+ 2 1/2) over Fresno St.

I think a Florida/LSU tease is a lock.

Thoughts?  Games you like?

Tough opener

Not a great start to the season going 0-2-1.  Shit!!  Lets get some good input up and make some money!  Where are you guys?

Thursday Sept. 2 Opening Night games!

S. Miss (+14) at South Carolina.  Both teams play hard nosed defense.  S. Miss historically plays road openers really tough.  The wildcard causing me to like S. Miss is Steven Garcia, QB S. Car.  Steven Garcia is a terribly inconsistent QB.  After Spurrier gets frustrated and starts the qb carousel, there offense will struggle to find rhythem.   61% of money on S.C. in vegas right now.

USC (-21) at Hawaii.  I know, Hawaii is tough at home...SC is pissed about the NCAA stuff and will run up the score all year.  91% of money is currently on SC and that scares me a little.

Pitt at Utah (-3).  Both teams have strong offenses and the question mark is Utah's D.  I give the edge to Utah based on home field advantage and the fact that Dave Wannstedt is the worst big game coach in AMERICA!  52% on Utah

Maiden Voyage

Welcome friends!  This is a blog that I started where we can all collaborate on the football games we like each week.  Everyone has a game and a reason and here we can discuss the plays and have a ball.  Good luck & lets get ready to dominate!